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Probability

"Or" means count each one once

A jar has 12 slips, numbered 1 to 12. You pick one without looking. What is P(odd or a multiple of 4)?

12 slips, 1 to 12.
Step 1 of 4
  1. 12 slips, 1 to 12.
  2. Odd: 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11. That is 6 slips.
  3. Multiples of 4: 4, 8, 12. That is 3 slips.
  4. No slip is in both. So 6 + 3 = 9. P = 9/12 = 3/4.

The chance is 9 out of 12, which is 3/4.

Check before you add

"A or B" means A, or B, or both. Count each slip once.

  • No slip in both lists? Just add.
  • A slip in both lists? Adding counts it twice. So list the slips and count again.

Example. A multiple of 3 or a multiple of 4?

  1. Multiples of 3: 3, 6, 9, 12.
  2. Multiples of 4: 4, 8, 12.
  3. 12 is in both lists. So do not just add 4 + 3.
  4. The slips are 3, 4, 6, 8, 9, 12. That is 6. P = 6/12 = 1/2.

Watch out!

Adding 4 + 3 = 7 to write 7/12 counts slip 12 twice. Look for shared slips first.

Now try it. Pick a question. A slip with a ring round it is in both lists.

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This track

  1. 0 Start here
  2. 1 Chance = wanted ÷ all
  3. 2 Two spinners, one grid
  4. 3 Two dice, 36 pairs
  5. 4 0, 1, or in between
  6. 5 Count the slips, not the numbers
  7. 6 "Not" means 1 minus
  8. 7 "Or" means count each one once
  9. 8 All together, step by step
  10. 9 Coins: list every result
  11. 10 A pack of 52 cards
  12. 11 Words that pick numbers
  13. 12 One taken out, not put back
  14. 13 Checkpoint: coins, cards, numbers and draws
  15. 14 The big picture
  16. 15 Track quiz

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